Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 1
DEF
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 1
BOS
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 2
DEF
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 3
PEÑ
27%
28%
46%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 3
DEF
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MWA
0 - 0
ALB
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
MWA
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MWA
2 - 1
FEN
48%
28%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 1
MWA
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MWA
1 - 2
RIV
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |