Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LFC
6 - 2
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 4
JUV
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
JUN
0 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 0
DEF
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
0 - 3
CEL
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
MWA
2 - 0
HUA
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MWA
2 - 0
PEÑ
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 2
MWA
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
MWA
0 - 2
FEN
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 4
MWA
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |