Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
RIV
3 - 2
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 1
RAC
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CER
1 - 1
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 0
DEF
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 0
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MWA
3 - 2
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 3
MWA
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MWA
1 - 1
FEN
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 1
MWA
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MWA
1 - 0
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |