Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BOS
0 - 1
DEF
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 2
LFC
65%
22%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ETS
0 - 2
DEF
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
4 - 2
RAC
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
DEF
53%
23%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MWA
1 - 0
JUN
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
FEN
4 - 1
MWA
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 3
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 3
CER
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BOS
1 - 1
MWA
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |