Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 1
CER
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 5
DEF
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 0
SUD
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 1
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
BOS
1 - 1
DEF
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
JUN
0 - 0
MWA
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MWA
1 - 3
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 0
JUN
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RAC
1 - 1
MWA
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
MWA
1 - 0
ZAM
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |