Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
24.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
DEF
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 1
SUD
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
STR
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
REN
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ETS
3 - 3
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
MWA
3 - 1
RAC
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MWA
3 - 1
SUD
68%
19%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
REN
1 - 3
MWA
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CSM
0 - 5
MWA
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MWA
3 - 2
DAN
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |