Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CER
2 - 3
DEF
33%
28%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 3
DEF
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
5 - 1
RAC
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 0
PEÑ
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LFC
1 - 2
MWA
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MWA
2 - 1
FEN
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MWA
1 - 3
ETS
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MWA
3 - 0
RAC
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MWA
3 - 1
CER
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |