Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
RAC
2 - 0
DEF
25%
24%
50%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
DAN
1 - 0
DEF
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
DEF
3 - 1
CEL
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CSY
1 - 3
DEF
21%
25%
55%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 0
CEN
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
MWA
3 - 0
JUV
68%
21%
12%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
LFC
2 - 1
MWA
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MWA
0 - 1
TAC
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
JUN
1 - 1
MWA
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MWA
0 - 1
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |