Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
DEF
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2002 |
DEF
2 - 1
DAN
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
RIV
1 - 0
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
PRO
1 - 2
DEF
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
DEF
1 - 1
BVS
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
MWA
2 - 1
CEN
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
CSY
0 - 1
MWA
38%
26%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
TAC
0 - 1
MWA
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
CER
0 - 1
MWA
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
FEN
2 - 4
MWA
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |