Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
DEF
2 - 0
FEN
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
JUV
1 - 8
DEF
46%
26%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
PLA
0 - 1
DEF
47%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
DEF
1 - 3
DAN
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2002 |
CER
0 - 5
DEF
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
MWA
0 - 2
BOC
21%
23%
56%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
DAN
0 - 0
MWA
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
MWA
1 - 1
RAC
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
MWA
1 - 2
BVS
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
MWA
3 - 1
SWA
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |