Defensor Sporting vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 0
LFC
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MWA
1 - 2
DEF
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
DEF
5 - 2
RIV
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 1
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
CFC
1 - 2
MON
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
4 - 0
MON
70%
21%
9%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
MON
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
ARA
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |