Defensor Sporting vs Miramar Misiones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BVS
1 - 1
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ETS
0 - 1
DEF
25%
27%
49%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MWA
0 - 1
DEF
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CER
2 - 1
DEF
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LFC
1 - 2
DEF
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Miramar Misiones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CSM
1 - 0
TAC
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 1
CSM
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CSM
0 - 1
CEN
41%
26%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
DAN
5 - 2
CSM
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CSM
1 - 1
RAC
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |