Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
CER
0 - 0
DEF
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 2
FEN
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
3 - 3
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
3 - 2
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 0
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LFC
2 - 1
MWA
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CER
1 - 1
LFC
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
LFC
3 - 2
CEL
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
FEN
0 - 2
LFC
36%
26%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
LFC
2 - 2
REN
56%
22%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |