Defensor Sporting vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
DEF
28%
27%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 1
TOR
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
DAN
2 - 1
DEF
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DEF
3 - 0
ATE
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
DEF
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 0
NOV
79%
16%
5%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 0
IND
47%
27%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VER
2 - 1
GRE
11%
21%
68%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
GRE
45%
27%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
BRA
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |