Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
DEP
3 - 1
DEF
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 0
DEF
63%
21%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 1
PEÑ
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
DAN
0 - 0
DEF
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 0
CEL
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 0
PEÑ
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
DAN
1 - 0
FEN
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 1
FEN
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
FEN
3 - 1
HUA
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FEN
2 - 0
BOS
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |