Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
3 - 3
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
3 - 2
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 0
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIV
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
DEF
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
FEN
3 - 3
CER
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
FEN
0 - 2
LFC
36%
26%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
FEN
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
FEN
3 - 3
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 0
FEN
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |