Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
DEF
28%
27%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 1
TOR
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
DAN
2 - 1
DEF
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DEF
3 - 0
ATE
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 0
PRO
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
FEN
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
CER
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FEN
3 - 1
JUN
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 2
FEN
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |