Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 1
MWA
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BOS
0 - 1
DEF
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 2
LFC
65%
22%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ETS
0 - 2
DEF
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 1
JUN
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 1
CER
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
FEN
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
FEN
4 - 1
MWA
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BOS
0 - 0
FEN
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |