Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 0
PEÑ
37%
25%
39%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 1
CEN
67%
20%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 2
DEF
30%
26%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 0
DEF
23%
27%
50%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
DEF
3 - 0
ETS
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FEN
1 - 1
LFC
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FEN
1 - 0
BVS
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 3
FEN
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
FEN
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
FEN
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |