Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
DEF
4 - 1
JUN
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
IND
4 - 2
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
DEF
3 - 1
ETS
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CSM
0 - 1
DEF
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MWA
2 - 2
FEN
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
FEN
2 - 1
CSM
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FEN
1 - 1
RAC
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 2
FEN
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FEN
0 - 1
CEN
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |