Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CEN
0 - 4
DEF
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 3
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
DAN
3 - 0
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DEF
5 - 1
ATE
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEF
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
FEN
1 - 1
CEL
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MWA
2 - 0
FEN
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FEN
0 - 2
RAC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FEN
0 - 3
RIV
37%
25%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
DEP
2 - 2
FEN
26%
24%
49%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |