Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
DEF
4 - 0
CER
71%
19%
11%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
LFC
0 - 0
DEF
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 0
PRO
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
FEN
0 - 0
PEÑ
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
JUN
0 - 0
FEN
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
FEN
2 - 0
TAC
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
PRO
1 - 4
FEN
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
FEN
0 - 0
DAN
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |