Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 2
ROC
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
PEÑ
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
PLA
1 - 1
DEF
19%
27%
55%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
DAN
0 - 1
DEF
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 0
MWA
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
FEN
0 - 1
CSC
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
FEN
2 - 2
COL
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
FEN
1 - 2
NAC
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
FEN
69%
18%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
FEN
0 - 2
DAN
35%
26%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |