Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
JUV
1 - 8
DEF
46%
26%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
PLA
0 - 1
DEF
47%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
DEF
1 - 3
DAN
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2002 |
CER
0 - 5
DEF
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
DEP
2 - 2
FEN
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
FEN
3 - 2
DAN
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
BVS
0 - 1
FEN
45%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2002 |
FEN
4 - 0
PRO
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
TAC
3 - 2
FEN
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |