Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis

Defensor Sporting Danubio
83 ELO 81
4.6% Tilt -7.6%
484º General ELO ranking 499º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
56.9%
Defensor Sporting
22.9%
Draw
20.2%
Danubio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
Defensor Sporting
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.2%
Win probability
Danubio
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Defensor Sporting
+3%
-4%
Danubio

ELO progression

Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2024
DEF
Defensor Sporting
3 - 3
Nacional
NAC
49%
25%
26%
82 82 0 0
02 Mar. 2024
RAC
Racing Montevideo
1 - 2
Defensor Sporting
DEF
38%
28%
35%
82 80 2 0
29 Feb. 2024
PLA
Plaza Colonia
0 - 1
Defensor Sporting
DEF
32%
27%
42%
82 75 7 0
25 Feb. 2024
DEF
Defensor Sporting
5 - 0
Cerro CA
CER
58%
24%
18%
82 77 5 0
14 Feb. 2024
DEF
Defensor Sporting
1 - 0
Puerto Cabello
APC
62%
21%
17%
81 74 7 +1

Matches

Danubio
Danubio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2024
LFC
Liverpool Montevideo
1 - 2
Danubio
DAN
59%
23%
18%
81 82 1 0
07 Mar. 2024
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
0 - 1
Danubio
DAN
42%
27%
31%
80 78 2 +1
02 Mar. 2024
RIV
River Plate Montevideo
1 - 0
Danubio
DAN
50%
26%
25%
80 81 1 0
24 Feb. 2024
BOS
Boston River
0 - 0
Danubio
DAN
46%
26%
28%
80 79 1 0
20 Feb. 2024
LUZ
La Luz FC
0 - 1
Danubio
DAN
41%
26%
33%
80 75 5 0