Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DEF
3 - 3
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 2
DEF
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
DEF
32%
27%
42%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DEF
5 - 0
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 0
APC
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 2
DAN
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MWA
0 - 1
DAN
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
DAN
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BOS
0 - 0
DAN
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 1
DAN
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |