Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 3
DEF
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 2
PEÑ
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DEF
1 - 0
LUZ
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 1
DEF
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
DEF
1 - 3
FEN
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 1
DAN
45%
29%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DAN
5 - 0
PLA
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 0
DAN
40%
30%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 1
LFC
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
DAN
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |