Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 3
LFC
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
CER
0 - 0
DEF
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 2
FEN
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
3 - 3
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
3 - 2
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
DAN
2 - 1
CER
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 1
DAN
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
DAN
0 - 1
PRO
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
PLA
3 - 0
DAN
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
DAN
0 - 4
TOR
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |