Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
JUN
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MWA
1 - 1
DEF
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 2
ATE
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DAN
2 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIV
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 2
DAN
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 1
ETS
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SUD
0 - 1
DAN
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DAN
2 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TAC
0 - 0
DAN
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -2 |