Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
DEF
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
DEF
2 - 2
ETS
59%
25%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SUD
0 - 0
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
DEF
2 - 1
RAC
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
TAC
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
DAN
0 - 1
TAC
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 1
DAN
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SLO
0 - 1
DAN
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 0
CER
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 2
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |