Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
RIV
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MWA
2 - 1
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SUD
1 - 1
DEF
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
REN
6 - 5
DEF
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 1
ETS
67%
21%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SUD
0 - 1
DAN
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ETS
0 - 2
DAN
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 3
REN
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DAN
1 - 2
RIV
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 2
DAN
39%
27%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |