Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CER
0 - 2
DEF
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 2
CEL
65%
22%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CSM
0 - 1
DEF
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 0
FEN
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 1
DEF
26%
28%
47%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CSM
1 - 1
DAN
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
DAN
4 - 1
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
DAN
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DAN
2 - 0
NAC
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 2
DAN
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +2 |