Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 0
RAC
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ETS
1 - 1
DEF
22%
27%
52%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
JUV
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 4
DEF
29%
27%
45%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
LFC
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DAN
1 - 2
ETS
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
DAN
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
DAN
0 - 0
PEÑ
25%
23%
52%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
DAN
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
DAN
2 - 4
MWA
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |