Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 3
CER
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 3
DEF
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
REN
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LFC
2 - 3
DEF
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 1
FEN
59%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LFC
1 - 2
DAN
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DAN
1 - 1
RAC
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ETS
1 - 1
DAN
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DAN
1 - 0
CSC
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DAN
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |