Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 0
CSM
75%
16%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BVS
1 - 1
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ETS
0 - 1
DEF
25%
27%
49%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MWA
0 - 1
DEF
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CER
2 - 1
DEF
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DAN
0 - 0
MWA
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RIV
3 - 1
DAN
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
DAN
3 - 2
LFC
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FEN
1 - 0
DAN
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
DAN
5 - 2
CSM
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |