Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CEL
3 - 2
DEF
19%
26%
56%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
DEF
4 - 3
IND
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
AME
0 - 0
DEF
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CEN
0 - 1
DEF
23%
27%
50%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
DEF
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
DAN
1 - 3
CER
67%
19%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 2
DAN
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
DAN
2 - 0
JUN
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
RAC
3 - 0
DAN
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DAN
2 - 0
TAC
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |