Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 1
DEF
34%
28%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 0
DEF
30%
28%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
LIB
2 - 2
DEF
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 1
JUN
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
FEN
0 - 0
DAN
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
DAN
3 - 0
CSM
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
JUV
0 - 1
DAN
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2007 |
DAN
1 - 1
TAC
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 1
DAN
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |