Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
22%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
MWA
0 - 1
DEF
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LFC
2 - 5
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 0
COL
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
DEF
4 - 1
CSC
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
SFE
0 - 0
DEF
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
DAN
0 - 2
CEN
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CSC
1 - 1
DAN
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ROC
4 - 2
DAN
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
REN
1 - 1
DAN
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
DAN
3 - 4
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -2 |