Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
CSC
1 - 2
DEF
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 1
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
REN
1 - 0
DEF
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 1
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
DAN
1 - 2
DEF
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 0
PLA
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
DAN
1 - 1
CEL
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
CEL
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 2
LFC
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
REN
2 - 0
CEL
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |