Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
0 - 2
ATM
29%
26%
46%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
BSC
1 - 0
DEF
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
3 - 0
BSC
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 3
BOL
39%
23%
38%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
DAN
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 0
REN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 3
CEL
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CSC
0 - 1
CEL
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CEL
3 - 1
TAC
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |