Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CSM
0 - 1
DEF
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 0
FEN
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 1
DEF
26%
28%
47%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
PEÑ
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 0
DEF
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 0
SUD
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ETS
1 - 1
CEL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
RIV
3 - 1
CEL
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 1
MWA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 0
DAN
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |