Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DEF
4 - 0
BVS
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FEN
1 - 3
DEF
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
FEN
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 0
CEN
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 1
CEL
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
CEL
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 2
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |