Defensor Sporting vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 1
FEN
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 0
DEF
44%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
DEF
3 - 2
RIV
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
BOS
1 - 1
DEF
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 0
PLA
34%
27%
38%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 0
PEÑ
21%
27%
51%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 0
CSC
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 1
LFC
33%
28%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 0
CSC
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
CSC
2 - 1
REN
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |