Defensor Sporting vs Central Español FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 3
DEF
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
DEF
5 - 1
FEN
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
DEF
4 - 1
JUN
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
IND
4 - 2
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 3
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 1
MWA
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 1
RAC
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 2
CEN
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LFC
2 - 2
CEN
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |