Defensor Sporting vs Central Español FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
DEF
0 - 1
DAN
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ATE
3 - 1
DEF
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 2
LFC
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
MWA
2 - 2
DEF
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 0
CEN
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 2
CEL
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
RIV
3 - 3
CEN
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 0
FEN
40%
26%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
CEN
0 - 3
JUN
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |