Defensor Sporting vs Central Español FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 2
DEF
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
RIV
2 - 1
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 0
PEÑ
51%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 2
RIV
49%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
RIV
1 - 3
DEF
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CEN
0 - 4
MWA
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 3
CEN
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CEN
1 - 1
CSY
48%
25%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
RAC
4 - 0
CEN
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
CEN
1 - 1
CEL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |