Defensor Sporting vs Central Español FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
DEF
5 - 3
CSM
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
DEF
4 - 3
RIV
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
JUV
0 - 2
DEF
26%
27%
48%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 1
PEÑ
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
DEF
4 - 0
MWA
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
CEN
0 - 1
MWA
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
BVS
1 - 0
CEN
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CEN
2 - 1
FEN
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CEN
1 - 1
TAC
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
RIV
3 - 0
CEN
71%
18%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |