Defensor Sporting vs Central Español FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
PRO
0 - 4
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 1
CSC
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BVS
0 - 2
DEF
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
REN
0 - 0
DEF
37%
26%
36%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 2
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CEN
3 - 0
LFC
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
JUN
3 - 2
CEN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CEN
2 - 3
ROC
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 1
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
CSC
0 - 2
CEN
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |