Defensor Sporting vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
CAU
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 1
DAN
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIV
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ETS
2 - 2
DEF
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 1
BVS
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 0
RAC
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 3
VEL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RAF
2 - 0
VEL
38%
26%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 1
LIG
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |