Copa Sudamericana Last 16
Global 0-0
Defensor Sporting vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
VIL
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 0
DEF
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LFC
2 - 1
DEF
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
DEF
22%
24%
55%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
2 - 0
REN
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 1
IND
50%
27%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 0
DEF
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
LAN
44%
26%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
5 - 1
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 1
BAN
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |