Copa Libertadores qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 3-1
Defensor Sporting vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 3
BOL
39%
23%
38%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 4
DEF
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 2
PEÑ
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BOS
3 - 1
DEF
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LFC
2 - 1
DEF
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
PQU
3 - 3
BSC
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 0
BSC
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BSC
2 - 1
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
BSC
4 - 2
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
BSC
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |